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Saturday, August 30, 2008
COPPER UPDATE
COPPER UPDATE FOR 29 AUGUST
COMMODITY MARKETS FALLING NEARLY 20 %
DURING THE THIRD QUARTER HAVE UNDERMINED
CONFIDENCE IN THE RESOURCES SUPERCYCLE
BUT SOME COMMENTATORS SAYIT IS A TEMPORARY
CORRECTION WITH LONG TERM FUNDAMENTALS
UNCHANGED.PRICE SOF COMMODITIES SUCH AS
COPPERHAVE CORRECTED SUBSTANTIALLY AMID
FEARS THAT CHINESEGROWTH IS SLOWING AT A
TIME WHEN THE US AND EUROPE ARE REPORTING
LITTLE ORNO GROWTH. BUT ANALYSTS SAY CHINESE
ECONOMIC GROWTH CYCLE HAS A LONG WAY TO GO.
A POST OLYMPICS RESURGENCE IN INFRASTRUCTURE
PROJECTS ALONG WITH SMALL CHANGES IN GOVERNMENT
POLICYTO SHIFT FOCUS TO GROWTHFROM FIGHTING INFLATION
WILL PROVIDE A NEW LEASE OF LIFE TO THE DERAILED
METALS RALLY. ANALYSTS SAY THE LONG LONG LABOURDAY
WEEKEND IN THE US WILL BRING A CLEARER DIRECTION
AS LIQUIDITY IMPROVES AND NORMAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
RESUMES.
COPPERLOOKS POISED FOR A FIRM REBOUND DURING THE
FOURTH QUARTER AMID SIGNS OF A TIGHTENING CHINESE
DOMESTIC COPPER MARKET AFTER MONTHS OF DESTOCKING.
ENERGY PRICES IN CHINA, THE BIGGEST PRODUCER OF
ALLUMINIUM SHOULD PUT A FLOOR UNDER PRICES OF THAT
METAL.
THE ONLYCONCERN SEEMS TO BE THAT WEAK ECONOMIC
NUMBERS ARE CONTINUINGWHICH MAY UNDERMINE PRICES
BUT THE OUTLOOK FOR 2009 REMAINS ROBUST AND A BULLISH VIEW FOR A
TARGET OF AVERAGE $ 5 PER POUND NEXT YEAR COULD BE
MAINTAINED. THE MOST ACTIVE DECEMBER COPPER CONTRACT
FELL 4.45 CENTS TO SETTLE AT # 3.4005 A POUND ON THE
COMEX DIVISION OF THE NEWYORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
THURSDAY.
COMMODITY MARKETS FALLING NEARLY 20 %
DURING THE THIRD QUARTER HAVE UNDERMINED
CONFIDENCE IN THE RESOURCES SUPERCYCLE
BUT SOME COMMENTATORS SAYIT IS A TEMPORARY
CORRECTION WITH LONG TERM FUNDAMENTALS
UNCHANGED.PRICE SOF COMMODITIES SUCH AS
COPPERHAVE CORRECTED SUBSTANTIALLY AMID
FEARS THAT CHINESEGROWTH IS SLOWING AT A
TIME WHEN THE US AND EUROPE ARE REPORTING
LITTLE ORNO GROWTH. BUT ANALYSTS SAY CHINESE
ECONOMIC GROWTH CYCLE HAS A LONG WAY TO GO.
A POST OLYMPICS RESURGENCE IN INFRASTRUCTURE
PROJECTS ALONG WITH SMALL CHANGES IN GOVERNMENT
POLICYTO SHIFT FOCUS TO GROWTHFROM FIGHTING INFLATION
WILL PROVIDE A NEW LEASE OF LIFE TO THE DERAILED
METALS RALLY. ANALYSTS SAY THE LONG LONG LABOURDAY
WEEKEND IN THE US WILL BRING A CLEARER DIRECTION
AS LIQUIDITY IMPROVES AND NORMAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
RESUMES.
COPPERLOOKS POISED FOR A FIRM REBOUND DURING THE
FOURTH QUARTER AMID SIGNS OF A TIGHTENING CHINESE
DOMESTIC COPPER MARKET AFTER MONTHS OF DESTOCKING.
ENERGY PRICES IN CHINA, THE BIGGEST PRODUCER OF
ALLUMINIUM SHOULD PUT A FLOOR UNDER PRICES OF THAT
METAL.
THE ONLYCONCERN SEEMS TO BE THAT WEAK ECONOMIC
NUMBERS ARE CONTINUINGWHICH MAY UNDERMINE PRICES
BUT THE OUTLOOK FOR 2009 REMAINS ROBUST AND A BULLISH VIEW FOR A
TARGET OF AVERAGE $ 5 PER POUND NEXT YEAR COULD BE
MAINTAINED. THE MOST ACTIVE DECEMBER COPPER CONTRACT
FELL 4.45 CENTS TO SETTLE AT # 3.4005 A POUND ON THE
COMEX DIVISION OF THE NEWYORK MERCANTILE EXCHANGE
THURSDAY.
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