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Friday, November 28, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 28 2008
NOV 28 FRIDAY
Copper fell on concern a slumping U.S. economy will crimp
consumption of Chinese imports and demand for industrial
metals in the Asian economy.
Copper usage in the U.S., the largest buyer after China, fell
9 percent in the first eight months and demand in China rose
13 percent, according to the International Copper Study Group.
Copper for delivery in three months declined $59 to
$3,696 a ton.
Copper inventories gained 2,375 tons to 288,725 tons.
Copper fell on concern a slumping U.S. economy will crimp
consumption of Chinese imports and demand for industrial
metals in the Asian economy.
Copper usage in the U.S., the largest buyer after China, fell
9 percent in the first eight months and demand in China rose
13 percent, according to the International Copper Study Group.
Copper for delivery in three months declined $59 to
$3,696 a ton.
Copper inventories gained 2,375 tons to 288,725 tons.
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING
NOV 26 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND: BEARISH
S1 RS 191.60 , S2 RS 188.30 , S3 RS 185
R1 RS 195 , R2 RS 195.60 , R3 RS 203.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND: BEARISH
S1 RS 191.60 , S2 RS 188.30 , S3 RS 185
R1 RS 195 , R2 RS 195.60 , R3 RS 203.
UPDATES ON NOV 26 2008
NOV 26 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 187.60 , S2 RS 185.30 , S3 RS 182
R1 RS 191 , R2 RS 193.60 , R3 RS 196
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 187.60 , S2 RS 185.30 , S3 RS 182
R1 RS 191 , R2 RS 193.60 , R3 RS 196
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR NYMEX TRADING
NOV 25 TUESDAY
TRADING LEVELS FOR EVENING TRADE
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 179 , S2 RS 175.20 , S3 RS 173.60
R1 RS 183 , R2 RS 188 , R3 RS 191.40
TRADING LEVELS FOR EVENING TRADE
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 179 , S2 RS 175.20 , S3 RS 173.60
R1 RS 183 , R2 RS 188 , R3 RS 191.40
UPDATES ON NOV 25 2008
NOV 25 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 182 , S2 RS 180.20 , S3 RS 178.60
R1 RS 186 , R2 RS 188.60 , R3 RS 190.40
Copper Declines From One-Week High on Global
Economy Concerns .
Copper declined as investors speculated a rally to a one-week
high was overdone against the backdrop of a global
economic slowdown and rising inventories.
London copper jumped as much as 7.8 percent to the
highest price since Nov. 14 yesterday as U.S. stocks
rallied on a government rescue of Citigroup Inc. The
global surplus of the metal, used in power grids and
buildings, more than tripled to 75,000 metric tons in
the eight months ended August from a year ago, according
to the International Copper Study Group.
Copper for three-month delivery fell as much as 2.9 percent
to $3,640 a ton on the London Metal Exchange and traded
at $3,680 at 12:44 p.m. in Shanghai. It jumped to as high
as $3,815 yesterday.
February-delivery copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
traded at 27,730 yuan ($4,061) a ton after rising as much
as 4 percent, or the exchange-imposed limit, from the
previous settlement price.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 182 , S2 RS 180.20 , S3 RS 178.60
R1 RS 186 , R2 RS 188.60 , R3 RS 190.40
Copper Declines From One-Week High on Global
Economy Concerns .
Copper declined as investors speculated a rally to a one-week
high was overdone against the backdrop of a global
economic slowdown and rising inventories.
London copper jumped as much as 7.8 percent to the
highest price since Nov. 14 yesterday as U.S. stocks
rallied on a government rescue of Citigroup Inc. The
global surplus of the metal, used in power grids and
buildings, more than tripled to 75,000 metric tons in
the eight months ended August from a year ago, according
to the International Copper Study Group.
Copper for three-month delivery fell as much as 2.9 percent
to $3,640 a ton on the London Metal Exchange and traded
at $3,680 at 12:44 p.m. in Shanghai. It jumped to as high
as $3,815 yesterday.
February-delivery copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
traded at 27,730 yuan ($4,061) a ton after rising as much
as 4 percent, or the exchange-imposed limit, from the
previous settlement price.
Monday, November 24, 2008
TRADING CALLS FOR NOV 24 MONDAY
Sell Copper at Rs 175.60
Stop loss Rs 178.80
Target 1 Rs 174.20
Target 2 Rs 172.
Sell Copper at Rs 175.60
Stop loss Rs 178.80
Target 1 Rs 174.20
Target 2 Rs 172.
Labels:
tRA
UPDATES ON NOV 24 2008
NOV 24 MONDAY
SHOR TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 175.50 , S2 RS 173 , S3 RS 170.30
R1 RS 180.60 , R2 RS 183 , R3 RS 185
SELL AT REISTENCE.
Base metals remain under pressure.
The entire comples has been reacting to serious
concerns on the demand side following the onset
of recessionary conditions and contractions in
liquidity.
Copper prices slumped on the back of a deteriorating
demand outlook and rising LME inventory as they
gained 1575 tonnes on Thursday.
Copper prices could remain under pressure as a
steady rise in inventories coupled with a demand
scenario is putting pressure on the downside.
Data issued by International Copper study group
revealed that over supply in the global copper market
widened in August 2008 for the third month in a row ,
hence resulting in a surplus for the first eight months
of the year.This situation could change if China actually
implements its $ 586 bn stimulus package.
Copper may see range trading with prices in the low
to mild $ 3000 levels.
SHOR TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 175.50 , S2 RS 173 , S3 RS 170.30
R1 RS 180.60 , R2 RS 183 , R3 RS 185
SELL AT REISTENCE.
Base metals remain under pressure.
The entire comples has been reacting to serious
concerns on the demand side following the onset
of recessionary conditions and contractions in
liquidity.
Copper prices slumped on the back of a deteriorating
demand outlook and rising LME inventory as they
gained 1575 tonnes on Thursday.
Copper prices could remain under pressure as a
steady rise in inventories coupled with a demand
scenario is putting pressure on the downside.
Data issued by International Copper study group
revealed that over supply in the global copper market
widened in August 2008 for the third month in a row ,
hence resulting in a surplus for the first eight months
of the year.This situation could change if China actually
implements its $ 586 bn stimulus package.
Copper may see range trading with prices in the low
to mild $ 3000 levels.
Friday, November 21, 2008
TRADING CALL
TECHNICAL INTRADAY CALL AT 11 AM
ON NOVEMBER 21
SELL COPPER NOVEMBER MCX AT 173.55 TO
174.55 , SL 175.50
FORV T1 171.85, AND T2 170.95.
ON NOVEMBER 21
SELL COPPER NOVEMBER MCX AT 173.55 TO
174.55 , SL 175.50
FORV T1 171.85, AND T2 170.95.
UPDATES
TECHNICALS FOR NOVEMBER 21
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM: BEARISH
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 174.30, 172, 169
RESISTANCES : 178.60, 180.60, 183
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCE.
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM: BEARISH
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 174.30, 172, 169
RESISTANCES : 178.60, 180.60, 183
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCE.
Thursday, November 20, 2008
UPDATES
UPDATE FOR NOVEMBER 19
Copper prices fell the most in a week on signs that output
is exceeding demand as a global economic slump trims
consumption of the metal used in pipes and wires.
Production topped demand by 26,800 metric tons this year
through September, the World Bureau of Metal Statistics said
today. Inventories monitored by the London Metal Exchange
more than doubled in the past six months and are the highest
since March 2004. Prices have tumbled 47 percent this year.
``The weaker global macro picture is bearish for metal
consumption,'' Barclays Capital said today in a note. The surge
in LME stockpiles also is hurting prices, the bank said.
Copper futures for March delivery dropped 6.2 cents, or 3.7
percent, to $1.6095 a pound on the Comex division of the New
York Mercantile Exchange, the biggest drop since Nov. 11. The
metal has plunged 62 percent from a record $4.2605 in May as
economic growth stalled.
LME stockpiles, up 55 percent from a year ago to 280,050
tons, have gained for 21 straight days, the longest climb
since March 2002.
Copper prices fell the most in a week on signs that output
is exceeding demand as a global economic slump trims
consumption of the metal used in pipes and wires.
Production topped demand by 26,800 metric tons this year
through September, the World Bureau of Metal Statistics said
today. Inventories monitored by the London Metal Exchange
more than doubled in the past six months and are the highest
since March 2004. Prices have tumbled 47 percent this year.
``The weaker global macro picture is bearish for metal
consumption,'' Barclays Capital said today in a note. The surge
in LME stockpiles also is hurting prices, the bank said.
Copper futures for March delivery dropped 6.2 cents, or 3.7
percent, to $1.6095 a pound on the Comex division of the New
York Mercantile Exchange, the biggest drop since Nov. 11. The
metal has plunged 62 percent from a record $4.2605 in May as
economic growth stalled.
LME stockpiles, up 55 percent from a year ago to 280,050
tons, have gained for 21 straight days, the longest climb
since March 2002.
UPDATES
TECHNICALS FOR NOVEMBER 20
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM : BEARISH
LONG TERM ; BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 178, 175
RESISTANCES : 183, 186
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM : BEARISH
LONG TERM ; BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 178, 175
RESISTANCES : 183, 186
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES
Wednesday, November 19, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 19 2008
NOV 19 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 181.50 , S2 RS 178
R1 RS 186 , R2 RS 189
Base metals pare gains on late Wall St reversal.
Industrial metals trimmed gains in late business on Tuesday
as a sharp downturn in U.S.equities sapped strength from
the complex, while a poor demandoutlook continued to
dampen sentiment.
London Metal Exchange often seen as a keygauge of real
economic activity -- rose $90 or 2.5 percent to close at
$3,750 a tonne. After-hours, it was trading at around
$3,682.
Copper for December ended up 0.55 cent at$1.6620 a lb
on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division,
after dealing in a session range between $1.6015 and
$1.7015.
Weak metals demand and fears the world is in for a long
recession have sent copper prices tumbling around 60
percent sincehitting a record high of $8,940 a tonne in
July.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 181.50 , S2 RS 178
R1 RS 186 , R2 RS 189
Base metals pare gains on late Wall St reversal.
Industrial metals trimmed gains in late business on Tuesday
as a sharp downturn in U.S.equities sapped strength from
the complex, while a poor demandoutlook continued to
dampen sentiment.
London Metal Exchange often seen as a keygauge of real
economic activity -- rose $90 or 2.5 percent to close at
$3,750 a tonne. After-hours, it was trading at around
$3,682.
Copper for December ended up 0.55 cent at$1.6620 a lb
on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division,
after dealing in a session range between $1.6015 and
$1.7015.
Weak metals demand and fears the world is in for a long
recession have sent copper prices tumbling around 60
percent sincehitting a record high of $8,940 a tonne in
July.
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 18 2008
NOV 18 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND: BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 179.80 , S2 RS 177
R1 RS 183.60 , R2 RS 186
Copper falls 3 pct as recession woes persist.
Industrial metals drifted lower on Monday, with copper
slipping more than 3 percent as investors priced in weaker
consumption outlook for metals in the face of a global
downturn.
Copper for three-months delivery on London Metal Exchange
fell to a session low of $3,680 per tonne and was at $3,695 per
tonne by 1030 GMT, versus $3,820 on Friday, when it
jumped around 5 percent.
Lack of demand could be mirrored in the sharply surging
LME inventories of copper, which has risen another 1,800
tonnes, bringing the total to 275,900 -- its highest since
February 2004. Stocks have risen nearly 40,000
tonnes so far in November alone.
The dollar fell against the euro and the sterling but did
not help metals. In theory, metals tend to move in the
opposite direction of the dollar, as a strong U.S.
currency makes them more expensive for local
currency holders.
SHORT TERM TREND: BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 179.80 , S2 RS 177
R1 RS 183.60 , R2 RS 186
Copper falls 3 pct as recession woes persist.
Industrial metals drifted lower on Monday, with copper
slipping more than 3 percent as investors priced in weaker
consumption outlook for metals in the face of a global
downturn.
Copper for three-months delivery on London Metal Exchange
fell to a session low of $3,680 per tonne and was at $3,695 per
tonne by 1030 GMT, versus $3,820 on Friday, when it
jumped around 5 percent.
Lack of demand could be mirrored in the sharply surging
LME inventories of copper, which has risen another 1,800
tonnes, bringing the total to 275,900 -- its highest since
February 2004. Stocks have risen nearly 40,000
tonnes so far in November alone.
The dollar fell against the euro and the sterling but did
not help metals. In theory, metals tend to move in the
opposite direction of the dollar, as a strong U.S.
currency makes them more expensive for local
currency holders.
Monday, November 17, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 17 2008
NOV 17 MONDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 186 , S2 RS 184.40
R1 RS 189 , R2 RS 191
Demand deterioration following lowering of global
growth expectations remain th central theme
of the base metal complex.
The world already in recession according to
the latest assessment , is forecast to witness even
lower growth in 2009 (2.2 % )
This is having a deleterious effect on the base metal
market with demand concerns in focus. Prices have
declined to multi year lows. Inventory levels for
Aluminium , copper, nickel and zinc are rising.
Producers have announced output cuts.
More may of course be needed to counter the
poor sentiment . China's $ 600 Billion package to
stimulate the economy has not cheered the market.
Copper is likely to trade in the range of $ 3500 to $ 4000
levels.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 186 , S2 RS 184.40
R1 RS 189 , R2 RS 191
Demand deterioration following lowering of global
growth expectations remain th central theme
of the base metal complex.
The world already in recession according to
the latest assessment , is forecast to witness even
lower growth in 2009 (2.2 % )
This is having a deleterious effect on the base metal
market with demand concerns in focus. Prices have
declined to multi year lows. Inventory levels for
Aluminium , copper, nickel and zinc are rising.
Producers have announced output cuts.
More may of course be needed to counter the
poor sentiment . China's $ 600 Billion package to
stimulate the economy has not cheered the market.
Copper is likely to trade in the range of $ 3500 to $ 4000
levels.
Sunday, November 16, 2008
UPDATES
UPDATES FOR WEEK ENDING 14 NOVEMBER
Copper rose the most in a week as a rally in Asian and
European equity markets eased concerns that a worldwide
economic slump will slash metal demand.
Copper futures for March delivery climbed 8.5 cents, or
5.2 percent, to $1.715 a pound on the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange, the biggest gain since Nov. 4.
The contract increased 0.8 percent this week. The metal still
has dropped 60 percent from a record in May.
The MSCI World Index of equities rose as much as 1.4 percent
today before turning lower on a slide in U.S. stocks. U.S. retail
sales dropped in October by the most on record. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 6.7 percent yesterday
after the close of Comex floor trading in copper.
``We're seeing a bounce in copper that's still based on
yesterday's big rally in the stock markets,'' said Frank McGhee,
the head dealer at Integrated Brokerage Services LLC in
Chicago. ``These markets are looking forward, and four to
six months down the road, demand starts to look better.''
`Downward Trend'
Still, concerns that consumption will weaken indicate ``copper
will resume its downward trend,'' O'Neill of Logic Advisors said.
The global economic slump spurred slack consumption from\
the manufacturing, auto and construction industries. Copper is
headed for its first annual decline since 2001, the last time
the U.S. was in a recession.
``We do not expect the current pessimism about the economic
outlook to lift anytime soon,'' Standard Chartered Bank analysts
Helen Henton and Dan Smith in London said in a report today.
``This should result in prices heading lower into the year end.''
Growth in copper demand has slowed to 1 percent this year
after gaining 4.2 percent in 2007, Standard Chartered said.
The metal will average $1.63 next quarter, the bank forecasts.
That compares with a Comex average of $2.05 this quarter.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months rose $150, or 4.1 percent, to $3,820 a metric ton
($1.73 a pound).
Copper rose the most in a week as a rally in Asian and
European equity markets eased concerns that a worldwide
economic slump will slash metal demand.
Copper futures for March delivery climbed 8.5 cents, or
5.2 percent, to $1.715 a pound on the Comex division of the
New York Mercantile Exchange, the biggest gain since Nov. 4.
The contract increased 0.8 percent this week. The metal still
has dropped 60 percent from a record in May.
The MSCI World Index of equities rose as much as 1.4 percent
today before turning lower on a slide in U.S. stocks. U.S. retail
sales dropped in October by the most on record. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 6.7 percent yesterday
after the close of Comex floor trading in copper.
``We're seeing a bounce in copper that's still based on
yesterday's big rally in the stock markets,'' said Frank McGhee,
the head dealer at Integrated Brokerage Services LLC in
Chicago. ``These markets are looking forward, and four to
six months down the road, demand starts to look better.''
`Downward Trend'
Still, concerns that consumption will weaken indicate ``copper
will resume its downward trend,'' O'Neill of Logic Advisors said.
The global economic slump spurred slack consumption from\
the manufacturing, auto and construction industries. Copper is
headed for its first annual decline since 2001, the last time
the U.S. was in a recession.
``We do not expect the current pessimism about the economic
outlook to lift anytime soon,'' Standard Chartered Bank analysts
Helen Henton and Dan Smith in London said in a report today.
``This should result in prices heading lower into the year end.''
Growth in copper demand has slowed to 1 percent this year
after gaining 4.2 percent in 2007, Standard Chartered said.
The metal will average $1.63 next quarter, the bank forecasts.
That compares with a Comex average of $2.05 this quarter.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in three
months rose $150, or 4.1 percent, to $3,820 a metric ton
($1.73 a pound).
Friday, November 14, 2008
UPDATES
TECHNICALS FOR NOVEMBER 14
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM: SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 180, 177.6
RESISTANCES : 186. 189
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM: SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 180, 177.6
RESISTANCES : 186. 189
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Thursday, November 13, 2008
UPDATES
UPDATE AT 10 AM ON NOVEMBER 13
London copper futures touched a new three-year low
on Thursday, while Shanghai futures dropped to their
weakest in four years, pressured by worriesabout a global
slowdown in demand. Persistent concerns about a global
economic recession weighed on commodity prices
overnight, driving down oil and gold steeply, but base metals
were less affected as analysts believed the response from
miners may be starting to support sentiment. Oil slid for a third
straight day to hit a 22-month low of $55 a barrel, as mounting
pessimism about the global economy wei gh OPEC's comments
that it could cut output gain as early as end-November.
Global copper production may have been trimmed by around
2percent annually, while zinc output will fall by around 500,000
tonnes or 3.5 percent of capacity and nickel output cuts may
reduce supply by the equivalent of 6 percent of worldproduction,
analysts said. China's refined copper production tumbled 8 percent
on the year to293,900 tonnes in October, said the National
Bureau of statisticsm output fell 0.9 percent, nickel fell 18
percent but zinc output rose 3.6 percent.
London Metal Exchange copper fell 0.6 percent to$3,600 a
tonne at 0230 GMT. Prices earlier dropped 2.1 percentto to $3,545
a tonne, their weakest since September 2005.
London copper futures touched a new three-year low
on Thursday, while Shanghai futures dropped to their
weakest in four years, pressured by worriesabout a global
slowdown in demand. Persistent concerns about a global
economic recession weighed on commodity prices
overnight, driving down oil and gold steeply, but base metals
were less affected as analysts believed the response from
miners may be starting to support sentiment. Oil slid for a third
straight day to hit a 22-month low of $55 a barrel, as mounting
pessimism about the global economy wei gh OPEC's comments
that it could cut output gain as early as end-November.
Global copper production may have been trimmed by around
2percent annually, while zinc output will fall by around 500,000
tonnes or 3.5 percent of capacity and nickel output cuts may
reduce supply by the equivalent of 6 percent of worldproduction,
analysts said. China's refined copper production tumbled 8 percent
on the year to293,900 tonnes in October, said the National
Bureau of statisticsm output fell 0.9 percent, nickel fell 18
percent but zinc output rose 3.6 percent.
London Metal Exchange copper fell 0.6 percent to$3,600 a
tonne at 0230 GMT. Prices earlier dropped 2.1 percentto to $3,545
a tonne, their weakest since September 2005.
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 12 2008
NOV 12 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 177 , S2 RS 173.60
R1 RS 183 , R2 RS 186
SELL AT RESISTENCE.
Shanghai copper hits near-4 yr low on weak outlook.
Shanghai copper futures fellto their weakest in almost
four years on Wednesday, chasingsharp losses overnight
in London on gathering gloom about the global economy.
Analysts said the longer-term outlook remained bleak
withplenty of room for further falls in copper prices, despite
a modest bounce in London on Wednesday.
The package for China looked good at first glance and
government spending will help but most positive forecast
calls for a rebound in the second half of 2009 but that may
be pushed out to 2010.
London Metal Exchange copper rose $60 or 1.7 percentto
$3,700 a tonne at 0240 GMT. In the wake of the Beijing
announcement prices surged 11 percent before the rally
fizzled.
The benchmark Shanghai contract SCFc3 fell 460 yuan to
28,860 yuan ($4,231). Shanghai copper earlier dipped to
28,600yuan, its lowest since January 2005.
Stocks of copper in LME-registered warehouses rose
another4,625 tonnes to 265,475 tonnes, their highest
since March 2004.In November alone, they are up
more than 27,000 tonnes.
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 177 , S2 RS 173.60
R1 RS 183 , R2 RS 186
SELL AT RESISTENCE.
Shanghai copper hits near-4 yr low on weak outlook.
Shanghai copper futures fellto their weakest in almost
four years on Wednesday, chasingsharp losses overnight
in London on gathering gloom about the global economy.
Analysts said the longer-term outlook remained bleak
withplenty of room for further falls in copper prices, despite
a modest bounce in London on Wednesday.
The package for China looked good at first glance and
government spending will help but most positive forecast
calls for a rebound in the second half of 2009 but that may
be pushed out to 2010.
London Metal Exchange copper rose $60 or 1.7 percentto
$3,700 a tonne at 0240 GMT. In the wake of the Beijing
announcement prices surged 11 percent before the rally
fizzled.
The benchmark Shanghai contract SCFc3 fell 460 yuan to
28,860 yuan ($4,231). Shanghai copper earlier dipped to
28,600yuan, its lowest since January 2005.
Stocks of copper in LME-registered warehouses rose
another4,625 tonnes to 265,475 tonnes, their highest
since March 2004.In November alone, they are up
more than 27,000 tonnes.
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
UPDATE
UPDATE AT 1 1 AM NOVEMBER 11
Shanghai copper futures shed nearly 3.7 percent on
Tuesday, and London prices ticked lower after a double
digit rally overnight on a rescue package for China's economy
fizzled.
On Monday, Shanghai copper jumped by its 4 percent limit
chasing an early charge higher that saw London prices up
as much as 11 percent, before closing 3.2 percent in the black.
Initial euphoria after China launched a near $600-billion
spending package to shore up GDP was tempered by worries
about the world economy and fears of a widespread recession.
China will also adjust policies on metal product exports at the
end of this year or early next year to boost trade, an executive
at the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association said on Tuesday.
Shanghai copper futures shed nearly 3.7 percent on
Tuesday, and London prices ticked lower after a double
digit rally overnight on a rescue package for China's economy
fizzled.
On Monday, Shanghai copper jumped by its 4 percent limit
chasing an early charge higher that saw London prices up
as much as 11 percent, before closing 3.2 percent in the black.
Initial euphoria after China launched a near $600-billion
spending package to shore up GDP was tempered by worries
about the world economy and fears of a widespread recession.
China will also adjust policies on metal product exports at the
end of this year or early next year to boost trade, an executive
at the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association said on Tuesday.
UPDATES
TECHNICALS FOR NOVEMBER 11
MCX COPPER NOVEMBER
SHORT TERM : BEARISH
LONG TERM: BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 186.6, 184
RESISTANCES : 190.6, 193
SELL AT RESISTANCES
MCX COPPER NOVEMBER
SHORT TERM : BEARISH
LONG TERM: BEARISH
SUPPORTS : 186.6, 184
RESISTANCES : 190.6, 193
SELL AT RESISTANCES
Monday, November 10, 2008
UPDATES
MARKET UPDATE AT 10 AM NOVEMBER 10
CHINA WORLD LARGEST USER OF METALS,
UNVEILED A 4 TRILLION YUAN ( 586 BILLION)
PLAN TO PROP UP INDUSTRIAL GROWTHIN CHINA.
LMECOPPER JUMPED 7.3 %. PRICES TO STAY HIGH.
CHINA WORLD LARGEST USER OF METALS,
UNVEILED A 4 TRILLION YUAN ( 586 BILLION)
PLAN TO PROP UP INDUSTRIAL GROWTHIN CHINA.
LMECOPPER JUMPED 7.3 %. PRICES TO STAY HIGH.
UPDATES
TECHNICALS FOR NOVEMBER 10
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM: SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 184.3, S2 182
RESISTANCES : R1 189, R2 192
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
MCX NOVEMBER COPPER
SHORT TERM: SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 184.3, S2 182
RESISTANCES : R1 189, R2 192
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
The unprecedented speed and scale of price collapse
in base metal prices is a clear indication of the
cataclysmic changes that have come about in the
global economic environment.Rising inventories add to
the exsisting burden.It is not global slow down but a
full blown recession that the market seems to have
priced in.
Extreme caution is advised in trading, Short covering rallies
may be possible but market fundamentals are such that
rallies may not sustain for too long.
Friday, November 7, 2008
UPDATES
TECNICALS LEVELS AT 5 PM ON NOVEMBER 7
MCX NOV COPPER
SHORT TERM : BEARISH
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS ; 188.20, 184
RESISTANCES ; 193, 196
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES
Copper bounces, but future direction uncertain.
Copper bounced on Friday as the market paused to take stock
of recent losses, but analysts say the jury is still out on
whether global recession and plunging demand has
been fully priced into the market.
The metal used in power and construction has lost more
than half of its value since a record high of $8,940 a tonne
on July 2. Last week it hit a three-year low of $3,590
a tonne.
Copper for three-month delivery on the London Metal
Exchange was trading up about 4 percent at $3,938 a
tonne at 1045 GMT from an earlier two-week low of
$3,740 and compared with $3,805 at the close on
Thursday.
Reinforcing fears that the worst is yet to come were gross
domestic product froecasts from the International Monetary
Fund, which expects global growth to slow to 2.2 percent
next year from 3.7 percent this year.
Part of the reason for the rally on Friday is because of short
position covering -- bets on lower prices.
But rising copper inventories would check any price gains.
Stocks of the metal in LME warehouses at above 250,000
tonnes are the highest since early March 2004.
MCX NOV COPPER
SHORT TERM : BEARISH
LONG TERM : BEARISH
SUPPORTS ; 188.20, 184
RESISTANCES ; 193, 196
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES
Copper bounces, but future direction uncertain.
Copper bounced on Friday as the market paused to take stock
of recent losses, but analysts say the jury is still out on
whether global recession and plunging demand has
been fully priced into the market.
The metal used in power and construction has lost more
than half of its value since a record high of $8,940 a tonne
on July 2. Last week it hit a three-year low of $3,590
a tonne.
Copper for three-month delivery on the London Metal
Exchange was trading up about 4 percent at $3,938 a
tonne at 1045 GMT from an earlier two-week low of
$3,740 and compared with $3,805 at the close on
Thursday.
Reinforcing fears that the worst is yet to come were gross
domestic product froecasts from the International Monetary
Fund, which expects global growth to slow to 2.2 percent
next year from 3.7 percent this year.
Part of the reason for the rally on Friday is because of short
position covering -- bets on lower prices.
But rising copper inventories would check any price gains.
Stocks of the metal in LME warehouses at above 250,000
tonnes are the highest since early March 2004.
UPDATES
PIVOTS FOR NOV 7
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 184.2, S2 182
RESISTANCES : R1 189, R2 192
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 184.2, S2 182
RESISTANCES : R1 189, R2 192
STAY SHORT AT RESISTANCES
Thursday, November 6, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 6 2008
NOV 6 THURSDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 193 , S2 RS 190.60
R1 RS 198 , R2 RS 202
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.
Copper 9 % fall lead other metals lower.
Copper shed nearly 9 % to lead other industrial
metals lower on Wednesday as inventories rose
and a firmer dollar weighed after the US elections.
The dollar erased some of its earlier gains but
remained stronger after posting its biggest one
day slide in 13 years the previous day and as the
Democratic canditate Mr Barreack Obama won
the US Presidential elections.
Copper for three month delivery on the London
Mrtal Exchange fell to $ 4090 a tonne from $ 4350
at the close on Tuesday as compared with a session
low of $ 3970.
Poor demand for copper is mirrored by the continuous
jump in inventories.Stocks of the metal in
the LME registered warehouses jumped 5825 tonnes
on Wednesday bringing the total to 247475 tonnes.
The sticks have risen more than 35000 tonnes in the
last 2 weks alone.
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 193 , S2 RS 190.60
R1 RS 198 , R2 RS 202
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.
Copper 9 % fall lead other metals lower.
Copper shed nearly 9 % to lead other industrial
metals lower on Wednesday as inventories rose
and a firmer dollar weighed after the US elections.
The dollar erased some of its earlier gains but
remained stronger after posting its biggest one
day slide in 13 years the previous day and as the
Democratic canditate Mr Barreack Obama won
the US Presidential elections.
Copper for three month delivery on the London
Mrtal Exchange fell to $ 4090 a tonne from $ 4350
at the close on Tuesday as compared with a session
low of $ 3970.
Poor demand for copper is mirrored by the continuous
jump in inventories.Stocks of the metal in
the LME registered warehouses jumped 5825 tonnes
on Wednesday bringing the total to 247475 tonnes.
The sticks have risen more than 35000 tonnes in the
last 2 weks alone.
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 5 2008
NOV 5 WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 205.40 , S2 RS 202
R1 RS 212 , R2 RS 218
STAY LONG FOR INTRA DAY
Copper Falls in London as Dollar Gains, Cutting Demand Outlook .
Copper declined in London as the dollar rebounded against
the euro and crude oil dropped, reducing the appeal of
the metal as an alternative investment.
Copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal
Exchange declined as much as 1.2 percent to $4,250 a
metric ton and traded at $4,265 as of 10:32 a.m.
Singapore time. Copper has lost 36 percent this year,
heading for the first annual drop since 2001, as rising
stockpiles signal weaker demand.
Copper for January delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
rose 2.8 percent for the previous close to 32,650
yuan at 10:36 a.m. local time.
Global copper demand will fall 0.2 percent next year, down
from an earlier forecast for a 1 percent advance, because
of slower economic growth in China, Credit Suisse Group
analyst Jeremy Gray wrote in a report Nov. 3. China is
the world's largest consumer of industrial metals.
Copper inventories tracked by the LME rose for a
10th day, reaching the highest since March 2004.
Including those monitored by bourses in New York
and Shanghai, stockpiles are equal to about 5.4 days
of global consumption, above last year's average of
4.9 days.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 205.40 , S2 RS 202
R1 RS 212 , R2 RS 218
STAY LONG FOR INTRA DAY
Copper Falls in London as Dollar Gains, Cutting Demand Outlook .
Copper declined in London as the dollar rebounded against
the euro and crude oil dropped, reducing the appeal of
the metal as an alternative investment.
Copper for delivery in three months on the London Metal
Exchange declined as much as 1.2 percent to $4,250 a
metric ton and traded at $4,265 as of 10:32 a.m.
Singapore time. Copper has lost 36 percent this year,
heading for the first annual drop since 2001, as rising
stockpiles signal weaker demand.
Copper for January delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
rose 2.8 percent for the previous close to 32,650
yuan at 10:36 a.m. local time.
Global copper demand will fall 0.2 percent next year, down
from an earlier forecast for a 1 percent advance, because
of slower economic growth in China, Credit Suisse Group
analyst Jeremy Gray wrote in a report Nov. 3. China is
the world's largest consumer of industrial metals.
Copper inventories tracked by the LME rose for a
10th day, reaching the highest since March 2004.
Including those monitored by bourses in New York
and Shanghai, stockpiles are equal to about 5.4 days
of global consumption, above last year's average of
4.9 days.
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 4 2008
NOV 4 TUESDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 198.60 , S2 RS 194
R1 RS 206 , R2 RS 210
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.
Copper ends flat despite rising inventories.
Copper closed relatively flat on Monday, rebounding from
earlier sharp losses as gainsin U.S. equities overshadowed
a large build in the red metal'sinventories.
The metal had lost as much as 4 percent of its value earlier
as inventories in London grew to their biggest since March
2004, fanning pessimism about Chinese demand.
The metal had lost as much as 4 percent of its value earlier
as inventories in London grew to their biggest since
March 2004, fanning pessimism about Chinese demand.
U.S. stocks markets were volatile but held positive ground
when copper for December delivery HGZ8 settled 1.10
centshigher at $1.84 a lb on the New York Mercantile
Exchange'sCOMEX division, up from an early low at
$1.7805.
In London, three-month copper on the London Metal
Exchange fell as low as $3,934 a tonne, and officially
closedat $4,090 versus Friday's close of $4,099
per tonne.
LME copper stocks surged 7,275 tonnes to 237,925, the
highest level since March 2004. The increase followed
gains of6,775 and 6,575 at the end of last week.
Prices for the metal, used in construction and power, have
fallen more than 50 percent since reaching a record high
of$8,940 a tonne in July.
A measure of Chinese manufacturing activity showed factory
output shrank sharply in October in the face of waning
orders,while officials pledged further steps to boost
domestic demandto keep the economy from slowing
too much.
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 198.60 , S2 RS 194
R1 RS 206 , R2 RS 210
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.
Copper ends flat despite rising inventories.
Copper closed relatively flat on Monday, rebounding from
earlier sharp losses as gainsin U.S. equities overshadowed
a large build in the red metal'sinventories.
The metal had lost as much as 4 percent of its value earlier
as inventories in London grew to their biggest since March
2004, fanning pessimism about Chinese demand.
The metal had lost as much as 4 percent of its value earlier
as inventories in London grew to their biggest since
March 2004, fanning pessimism about Chinese demand.
U.S. stocks markets were volatile but held positive ground
when copper for December delivery HGZ8 settled 1.10
centshigher at $1.84 a lb on the New York Mercantile
Exchange'sCOMEX division, up from an early low at
$1.7805.
In London, three-month copper on the London Metal
Exchange fell as low as $3,934 a tonne, and officially
closedat $4,090 versus Friday's close of $4,099
per tonne.
LME copper stocks surged 7,275 tonnes to 237,925, the
highest level since March 2004. The increase followed
gains of6,775 and 6,575 at the end of last week.
Prices for the metal, used in construction and power, have
fallen more than 50 percent since reaching a record high
of$8,940 a tonne in July.
A measure of Chinese manufacturing activity showed factory
output shrank sharply in October in the face of waning
orders,while officials pledged further steps to boost
domestic demandto keep the economy from slowing
too much.
Monday, November 3, 2008
UPDATES ON NOV 3 2008
NOV 3 MONDAY
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 207 , S2 RS 202
R1 RS 214 , R2 RS 218
India's copper future is expected to open higher
on Monday tracking from overseas market.
The benchmark November copper MCCX8 on the Multi
Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) on Saturday ended
down 2.2 percent at 211.5 rupees. It may open around
213-214 rupees per kg, an analyst said.
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 207 , S2 RS 202
R1 RS 214 , R2 RS 218
India's copper future is expected to open higher
on Monday tracking from overseas market.
The benchmark November copper MCCX8 on the Multi
Commodity Exchange of India (MCX) on Saturday ended
down 2.2 percent at 211.5 rupees. It may open around
213-214 rupees per kg, an analyst said.
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