Tuesday, September 30, 2008
UPDATE
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND: BEARISH
S1 301, S2 RS 297
R1 RS 305 , R2 RS 308
Bank crisis, strong U.S. dollar knock down metals.
Industrial metals ran intoadditional liquidation in after-hours
trade on Monday after aproposed $700 billion financial rescue
package was rejected by U.S.lawmakers.
The House of Representatives rejected by a vote of 228-205 a
WallStreet bailout bill that would have authorized the Treasury
Department to spend up to $700 billion to purchase toxic
mortgage-backed bonds from banks in an effort to jump-
start stalledcapital markets.
Industrial metals were slammed following the decision.
Copper for delivery in three on the London Metal Exchange
closed down $335 at $6,440 per tonne. After-hours, the metal
fell as low as $6,349.50, its lowest level since mid-December 2007.
Turmoil in financial markets has weighed on metal prices for months.
Copper, used in construction, has fallen more than 25 percent from
a record high of $8,940 on July 2.
The dollar extended losses against the yen amid rising risk aversion
as foreign exchange investors expressed concerns about further
instability in the global banking system following bank bailouts in
Europe and the United States.
The U.S. Commerce Department said consumer spending was flat
inAugust, after barely edging up by a revised 0.1 percent in July,
amuch weaker outcome than forecast by Wall Street economists
surveyedby Reuters, who had expected a 0.2 percent spending rise.
Monday, September 29, 2008
UPDATE
Mcx Nov Copper trading near crucial support Rs. 305
to Rs. 304.50. if prices sustain below these levels, prices may test
further support Rs. 302 and 297.
UPDATES ON SEPT 29 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 313.80 , S2 RS 311.30
R1 RS 318.30 R2 RS 320
Uncertain market conditions resulting from a combination
of macri economic concerns and financial sector woes
are weighing heavily on the metal market , even as
fundamentals have been pushed aside.
A sustained pick up in buying will lead to price
performance.Until demand conditions stabilise
the base metal market will be volatile.
According to technical analyst , in the short
run copper is likely to be range bound.
The sideways trade could oscillate between the
resistence at $ 7200 and range low of $ 6625.
The risk of further dollar weakness means a
further coeerection is possible.
Saturday, September 27, 2008
UPDATE
Copper down on demand worries, U.S. in focus.
Copper prices in New York and Londonslipped on Friday as
concerns about waning demand growth prompted investors
tolimit their holdings in the industrial metal, while awaiting
any new developments on a U.S. financial rescue plan.
Copper for delivery in three on the London Metal Exchange
(LME) ended down $155, or 2.2 percent, at $6,775 per tonne.
Earlier copper,used widely in power and construction,
touched a one-week low of $6,768.
Pressure mounted on U.S. lawmakers on Friday to agree on a
$700 billionfinancial rescue plan after talks at the White
House collapsed in acrimony andthe failure of Washington
Mutual, the biggest bank closure in U.S. history, roiled
global markets.
Markets shrugged off news of a strike in Canada.
LME copper stocks fell by 350 tonnes to 200,175, their
lowest level in morethan three weeks, suggesting a pick
up in demand.
Copper inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai
Futures Exchange fell 6 percent in the week ended
Thursday to 16,130 tonnes.
UPDATE
UPDATE 7-Copper down on demand worries, U.S. in focus.
Markets await U.S. financial sector rescue * Long-term worries
about cost of U.S. bailout * Base metals range-bound in light
trading volumes.
Copper prices in New York and Londonslipped on Friday as concerns
about waning demand growth prompted investors tolimit their
holdings in the industrial metal, while awaiting any newdevelopments
on a U.S. financial rescue plan. Copper for delivery in three months
MCU3 on the London Metal Exchange.
Pressure mounted on U.S. lawmakers on Friday to agree on
a $700 billionfinancial rescue plan after talks at the White House
collapsed in acrimony andthe failure of Washington Mutual, the
biggest bank closure in U.S. history,roiled global markets.
To put the $700 billion into perspective, the current value of the world's
total country central .
(LME) ended down $155, or 2.2 percent, at $6,775 per tonne.
Earlier copper,
used widely in power and construction, touched a one-week low of
$6,768. In New York, copper for December delivery HGZ8 settled
down 6.00 cents,
or 1.9 percent, at $3.0745 a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's
COMEX division.
Friday, September 26, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 26 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 316, S2 RS 314.60
R1 RS 318.80 . R2 RS 321
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Copper steady, market nervous on U.S. bailout plan.
Copper prices in NewYork and London edged higher on
Thursday while aluminiumtouched an eight-month low,
as volatility ran high andinvestors were cautious and
waiting for details of the $700billion U.S. financial
rescue plan to emerge.
Trading in industrial metals continued to be choppy as
investors also kept an eye on the currency market,
where thedollar rebounded after losing ground
earlier in the day.
Copper for delivery in three months on the London MetalExchange
hit a one-week low of $6,835 per tonnebefore closing at $6,930,
from $6,905 on Wednesday.
In New York, copper for December delivery HGZ8 rose 2.80
cents to close at $3.1345 a lb on the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division.
Orders for U.S. manufactured goods plunged in August, and the
number of workers filing new claims for jobless benefits shot up,
according to government reports.
Thursday, September 25, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 25 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 314 , S2 RS 311
R1 RS 318.50 , R2 RS 323
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Copper slips on demand worries, uncertainty.
Copper prices fell in New York and London on Wednesday
amid fears of a prolonged demand slowdown and
uncertainty surroundingthe U.S. government's
proposed $700 billion bailout of financial markets.
Copper for delivery in three on the London Metal
Exchangeclosed down $75 a tonne at $6,905. the metal,
used widely in power andconstruction, slipped 4 percent
on Tuesday.
In New York, copper for December delivery shed 4.55
cents to settleat $3.1065 a lb on the New York Mercantile
Exchange's COMEX division, near thelower end of its
$3.0830 to $3.1815 session range.
The dollar slipped amid nervousness about the bailout's chances
for passage. In afternoon New York trading, the dollar was
down slightly against abasket of major currencies .DXY at
76.725, while the euro was up 0.1 percenton the day at
$1.4659.
Analysts said industrial metals also came under pressure from
news thatcorporate sentiment in Germany, Europe's largest
economy, deteriorated for thefourth month running, and
weakening data from other economies.
London copper is down about 20 percent from its record high
of $8,940 pertonne hit in April, as investors have dumped
positions amid lack of demand fromChina and global
financial turmoil.
Sentiment got a boost from another drawdown in copper
stocks which fellnearly 9,000 tonnes this week, mostly
as material left warehouses in Korea,likely bound for
China, suggesting a pick-up in demand in the world's
largestconsumer of the metal.
Copper has support at $ 6692 and resistence at $ 7100.
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 24 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 316 S2 RS 312
R1 RS 321.50 , R2 RS 325
STAY SHORT AT RESISTENCE.
Copper tumbles on worries over U.S. bailout.
Copper prices in New York andLondon ran into renewed
selling pressure on Tuesday as a firmerdollar and growing
worries on whether a planned $700-billionU.S. financial
bailout would jump-start a weakening economysparked a
bout of profit-taking.
Copper for delivery in three months MCU3 on the London
Metal Exchange closed at $6,980 per tonne, after hitting a
session low of $6,970 and slipping from Monday's high of
$7,333, its highest level since Sept. 4.
In New York, copper for December delivery HGZ8 closed down
10.30 cents, or nearly 3.2 percent, at $3.1520 a lb on the
New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division.
Commodity prices have come under pressure in the past few
weeks as investors, desperate for cash, sold off their positions
as the global financial turmoil deepened.
The dollar moved in erratic trade, hitting session highs versus the
yen and analysts said a possible turnaround in theU.S. currency
could further dampen prospects for metals.
London copper is down about 20 percent compared to its record
high of $8,940 per tonne hit in April, as lack of demand from
China, coupled with global financial market turmoil have
prompted investors to dump their positions.
Some analysts have said a nearly 8,000-tonne fall in LME
copper inventories, primarily from the Gwangyang and Busan
warehouses in Korea, could suggest demand from China, the
world's largest importer and consumer of copper, was
starting to pick up.
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
UPDATE
Mcx Copper tested intraday support of Rs. 316.50
if prices sustain below these levels , may test support
of Rs. 312.
UPDATES ON SEPT 23 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 324 , S2 RS 321
R1 RS 328 , R2 RS 332
BUY AT RS 324.20 TO 324
STOP LOSS RS 321
TARGET RS 328
Copper rallies on soft dollar, stock drawdown.
Copper rallied to its loftiest level inmore than two
weeks on Monday as the dollar slumped against the
euro andinventories fell in Asian warehouses,
suggesting a pick-up of demand in topconsumer
China.
Copper for delivery in three months on the London
Metal Exchange closed up 2.7 percent or $190 at $7,250
per tonne. On Thursday, it hit a nine-month low of $6,625.
In New York, copper for December delivery HGZ8 closed up 7.85
cents,or nearly 2.5 percent, at $3.2550 a lb on the New York
MercantileExchange's COMEX division.
The dollar slipped as investors awaited details of a planned
$700billion U.S. bailout of bad mortgage debt, likely the biggest
bailout inAmerican history, capping a dramatic week in the
U.S. financial markets.
Analysts said a 3,100-tonne fall in LME copper inventories, primarily
from the Gwangyang and Busan warehouses in Korea, suggested
demand fromChina, the world's largest importer and consumer
of copper, was starting topick up.
The global copper market balance remained in deficit by 130,000
tonnes between January and June this year, versus a deficit of
264,000 tonnes inthe corresponding year-ago period, the
International Copper Study Group(ICSG) said in its latest
monthly bulletin.
Monday, September 22, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 22 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BULLISH
S1 RS 315 , S2 RS 310
R1 RS 321 , R2 RS 326
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Copper managed to gain 4.6 % to $ 7085 / tonne
despite increase in LME and Shanghai inventories.
Demand concerns continue to haunt the market.
Slow down in major economies is pressuring
prices.
Saturday, September 20, 2008
Support : $ 6692 Resistence : $ 7100
Copper is now at $ 6880 but it did sink to a
low of $ 6720 earlier.
Analyst feel the support band is from $ 6620 to $ 6720,
with prices bouncing back every time we get there.
The revival of US Equiities could do some good for
copper .The negatives are the stronger dollar, rising
inventories at the LME and Shanghai.
UPDATES ON SEPT 20 2008
Copper rebounds from 9 month low.
Copper bounced back from near 9 month low on Friday
but analyst expected a stronger dollar against the Euro,
weak demand prospects and a large rise in inventories to
keep a lid on prices.
Three month copper on the London Metal Exchange
was trading at $ 6845 a tonne at 1015 GMT from $ 6749
at the close on Thursday when it fell to a nine month low
of $ 6625.
China consumes about about 25 % of global copper
production , while the US is estimated to consume
about 15 % .
Friday, September 19, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 19 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 313 , S2 RS 308
R1 RS 318 , R2 RS 323
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Copper, Aluminum Rise in London as Dollar, Oil Buoy Commodities .
Copper and aluminum rose for the first time in four days
in London, leading gains in most industrial metals, as
a weaker dollar buoyed investor demand for commodities.
Equity markets also advanced after the world's largest central
banks said they will pump $180 billion into the financial system.
That soothed investor concern that global economic growth
will slow more than expected and sap demand for raw
materials. The dollar index, a weighted measure against
six major currencies, fell for a second day.
Copper for delivery in three months gained $200, or 3 percent,
to $6,950 a ton on the London Metal Exchange as of
12:03 p.m. local time. The metal has declined 5.2 percent
in the previous three days. Aluminum advanced $35, or
1.4 percent, to $2,535 a ton.
Copper also rose as inventories earmarked for withdrawal from
warehouses registered with the LME rose 9.4 percent to 20,975
tons, the most since April. Copper stockpiles stand at 204,150
tons, the exchange said today.
U.S. housing starts fell 6.2 percent in August to an annual rate of
895,000 from July, the fewest since January 1991, the Commerce
Department said yesterday. Builders are the biggest users of
copper in the U.S.
Thursday, September 18, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 18 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 313 , S2 RS 311.50
R1 RS 318 , R2 RS 321
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Copper languishes on fears over Chinese demand.
Copper hovered close to an eight month low on
Wednesday , shrugging off a US bail out of
troubled insurer American International Group
(AIG) as investors fretted about demand from top
consumer China.
London Mrtal Exchange copper lost 0.7 5 OR $ 45
to $ 6825 a tonne at 1001 GMT , extending Tuesdays
near one month slide.
Earlier in the session commodity prices including
metals , rose with crude oil up more than 3 % recovering
from Tuesdays 7 month low.
The Fed held intrest rate steady at 2 % opting for
the time being to soothe rattled financial markets with
Central Bank lending facilities rather than rate cuts.
On Tuesday coppers top consumer China cut its
intrest rates unexpectedly , the first since February
2002 and the Central Bank also reduced the reserve
ratio.
In Shanghai copper prices dropped to the lowest this
year .
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
UPDATE
Copper rebound from a aten monthe low
in Shangai as tight domestic supplies supported
prices in China.
TECHNICALS
COPPER MCX NOVEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 - RS.315, S2 - RS.311.50
RESISTANCES : R1 - RS.321, R2 - RS.324
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
UPDATE
Copper hit an eight-month low onTuesday as investors worried
global financial turmoil would cutdemand, while aluminium fell
on a big jump in LME stocks.
Copper for delivery in three months MCU3 on the LondonMetal Exchange
was down at $6,795 a tonne at mid-session versus$6,930 at the close on
Monday, when it shed 2.7 percent. It hit a fresh eight-month low in early
trade at $6,720 --
the lowest since January 22.
UPDATES ON SEPT 16 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 315 , S2 RS 313
R1 RS 321 , R2 RS 324
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
Copper declined for a second day in Asia after U.S. stocks
tumbled and as concern grows that credit- market losses
may escalate, adding to worries about slowing global
economic growth.
Copper for delivery in three months declined 1.2 percent
to $6,850 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange
at 10:39 a.m. Singapore time, extending yesterday's
2.7 percent drop.
Copper for December delivery on the Shanghai Futures Exchange
slipped as much as 4.1 percent to 53,430 yuan a ton, the lowest
for a most-active contract since November 2007. The contract
traded at 53,680 yuan at 10:40 a.m. Singapore time.
China's central bank yesterday reduced the one-year lending
rate for the first time in six years, and lowered the proportion
of deposits that the nation's smaller banks must set aside.
Monday, September 15, 2008
UPDATE
U.S. copper futures tumble 3 percent Monday as investors
fret about the health of the global economy amid turmoil in
major U.S. banking and financial institutions.
Copper for December delivery HGZ8 down 9.20 cents, or
2.9 percent, at $3.1020 a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's
COMEX division at 10:35 a.m. EDT (1435 GMT).
* December ranged from $3.0570 to $3.2225 a lb.
* Spot September HGU8 traded down 8.65 cents, or 2.7 percent,
at $3.1225 a lb.
* Copper fell along with other base metals due to concerns about
the global economic strength after U.S. investment bank Lehman
Brothers filed for bankruptcy protection - metals trader.
* Copper, a barometer of the strength of the global economy,
sold off as U.S. stocks fell 2 percent amid financial turmoil.
* Trading momentum in the red metal also weakened after
data showed U.S. industrial output posted its biggest slide in
three years last month and September might not be much better.
Copper for December delivery HGZ8 down 9.20 cents, or 2.9 percent,
at $3.1020 a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division at 10:35 a.m.
* December ranged from $3.0570 to $3.2225 a lb.
* Spot September HGU8 traded down 8.65 cents, or 2.7 percent,
at $3.1225 a lb.
* Copper fell along with other base metals due to concerns about
the global economic strength after U.S. investment bank Lehman
Brothers filed for bankruptcy protection - metals trader.
* Copper, a barometer of the strength of the global economy,
sold off as U.S. stocks fell 2 percent amid financial turmoil.
* Trading momentum in the red metal also weakened after data
showed U.S. industrial output posted its biggest slide in three years
last month and September might not be much better.
UPDATE
Industrial metals prices sank on Monday as investors dumped
positions to seek refuge in safer assets after Lehman Brothers filed
for bankruptcy.The US financial system faced an unprecedented
shake-up as Bank of America announced it would buy Merrill Lynch,
AIG was reported to be seeking help from the Federal Reserve, and
the Fed said for the first time it would accept stocks in exchange for
cash loans.European equity markets were sold-off heavily while US
stock futures tumbled and the dollar was hammered.But the weaker
dollar failed to offer support for metals, with copper slipping as much
as 2 percent and nickel dropping more than 3 percent.Copper for
three-months delivery on the London Metal Exchange was at
$6 975/6 995 per tonne by 09:28 GMT, down from Friday's close
of $7 122 per tonne."It's going to be unpredictable, erratic and choppy,"
said analyst Robin Bhar at Calyon. "(It is) a shock to have two banks
literally disappear.""People are wondering what kind of implications
this will have for financial markets ... The uncertainty will linger, and
while that's happening, people will back away from doing too much," he
said.Metals markets were already under pressure after copper and
aluminium touched record highs earlier this year.Lack demand from
China, rising inventories and worries over the health of the global
economy have all helped depress metals.
TECHNICAL LEVELS
COPPER MCX NOVEMBER
SHORTTERM TREND : BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
SUPPORTS : S1 - RS.300.6,, S 2 - RS.317
RESISTANCES : R1 - RS.325 , R2 - RS.328
STAY LONG.
Saturday, September 13, 2008
COMMENTARY
U.S. copper futures rose in early business on Friday as the
dollar fell following a negative U.S. retail sales result and a decline
in the producer price index, traders said.
Copper for December delivery HGZ8 was up 5.00 cents at $3.1725
a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division.
* The range extended up to a week high of $3.20 from a low of
$3.1215 an ounce.
* Spot September HGU8 gained 5.15 cents to $3.1860 a lb.
* Copper added to early gains after the dollar declined following
a drop in U.S. August retail sales and a drop in the producer price index - traders.
* U.S. retail sales fell 0.3 percent in August, the biggest drop since
December 2007, and follows a downwardly revised July decline of
0.5 percent. Analysts' consensus forecasts came to a rise of 0.2 percent
for August. Excluding autos, sales dropped 0.7 percent.
The U.S. August producer price index dropped 0.9 percent more
than forecasts for a 0.5 percent decline. In July, the PPI jumped 1.2 percent.
UPDATE
Copper prices rose to one weeks highs on Friday
as hopes of stronger demand from top consumer
China revived optimism, but analysts expect global
ecocnomic weakness to cap the rally.
Copper for delivery in three months on the LME
jumped 2.6% to $7110 per tonne, the highest since
September 5, and was trading at $ 7080 a tonne at
1022 GMT from $6930 at close on Thursday.
The metl used widely in the power and construction
industries is down about 20 % since early July when
it touched a record high of $ 8940 a tonne., after which
doubts about the strength of the Chinese demand gathered
momemtum.
Copper stocks at above 203,000 tonnes , at their highest
since March last , have also been a negative for the market.
Meanwhile Freeport McMoRan Copper and Gold Inc, the
world's second largest copper producer, said supply
globally may be constrained because of lack of new
discoveries, and declining output at aeging mines.
It appears that slowing copper demand from the US
residential and automobile sectors is spreading to
commercial construction. and at the same time the
European ecomonies are also slowing.
Those factors will not curb copper demand in China
, the the biggest consumer where more people are moving into
cities, creating the need for wire and piping in new houses. It looks
like the Chinese government has sufficient funds to continue
building the infrastructure it needs to support internal migration.
Chinese foriegn exchamge reserves have swelled to a record
$1.8 Trillion as money floods in from exports , foreign direct
investment and investors abroad speculating on continued gains
by the yuan.
Friday, September 12, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 12 2008
COPPER MCX NOVEMBER
SHORT TERM TREND - BULLISH
LONG TERM TREND - BEARISH
SUPPORT 1- 313
SUPPORT 2 - 310
RESISTANCE 1 - 318.6
RESISTANCE 2 - 322
US copper ends higher as support emerges near $3 a lb.
U.S. copper futures closed higher on Thursday, bucking a
generally weaker tone across the broader commodity arena,
as buyers stepped up their purchases as prices neared
$3.00 a lb, brokers said.
Copper for December delivery settled up 0.85 cent at $3.1225 a
lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division.
Copper up in modest technical short-covering boost after
the benchmark December contract's failure to break down
below Wednesday's session low at $3.04 - brokers.
Copper's positive settlement bucks broader weakness in
commodities, as the short commodity/long dollar trade
continued to weigh on the complex.
The dollar scaled a fresh one-year high versus the euro and
a basket of currencies on Thursday, boosted by U.S. investors
repatriating overseas investments amid escalating worries
about global growth.
London Metal Exchange inventories rose 275 tonnes to 204,125
tonnes on Thursday, their highest level since March 2007.
COMEX copper stocks were unchanged at 5,390 short tons
on Wednesday.
London Metal Exchange copper for three-months settled up $90 at
$6,930 a tonne from Wednesday's kerb close.
Thursday, September 11, 2008
UPDATE
U.S. copper futures ended up for the first time in five sessions
Wednesday after a reduced production outlook from a top producer
and an earthquake in northern Chile reignited some fears of a supply
short-fall.
Copper for December delivery HGZ8 settled up 2.70 cents at $3.1140
a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division.
* The session range widened to $3.1440 to $3.04, the contract's
lowest level since Jan. 23.
* Spot September HGU8 gained 2.85 cents to close at $3.1235.
* COMEX estimated final futures volumes at 19,210 lots, compared
with Tuesday's official count at 16,003 lots.
Open interest edged up 31 lots to 76,798 contracts open as of Sept. 9.
Copper up in a late short-covering rally on news of a powerful 5.8
magnitude earthquake in northern Chile, home to the country's large
copper mining areas.
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 10 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 306 , S2 RS 303
R1 RS 311.30 , R2 RS 314.50
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
US copper futures hit 7-1/2-mth low, market eyes $3.
U.S. copper futures closed with modest losses Tuesday after
hitting their lowest levels in more than seven months as
further dollar-induced liquidation pinned the market down
near the bottom of its yearly range, analysts said.
Copper for December shed 0.60 cent by the
close to $3.0870 a lb on the New York Mercantile Exchange's
COMEX division.
The dollar fell on Tuesday, reversing earlier strength against
the euro, on the back of jitters in the financial sector and on
economic data revealing further deterioration in the U.S.
housing sector.
In afternoon trading in New York, the euro was last up 0.35 percent
at $1.4175 backing away from an 11-month low touched overnight.
Pending sales of existing U.S. homes fell more sharply than
expected in July, partially erasing gains from the previous
month, data from a real estate trade group showed on Tuesday.
COMEX copper stocks were flat at 5,390 short tons on Monday.
In China, as much as 70,000 tonnes of copper supplies stockpiled
in bonded warehouses around Shanghai could spill into the
physical market within weeks there
London Metal Exchange copper for three-months delivery fell
as low as $6,778 a tonne, its lowest level since Jan. 22, before
ending the day at $6,815, down $135 from Monday's closing
level.
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 9 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 306 , S2 RS 303
R1 RS 311.30 , R2 RS 314.50
STAY SHORT.
U.S. copper futures ended Monday with slight losses, weighed
down by the dollar, which rallied on the back of a government
plan to bail out two struggling mortgage finance giants.
Copper for December ended down 0.55 cent at $3.0930 a lb
on the New York Mercantile Exchange's COMEX division.
The U.S. government seized control of mortgage financial giants
Freddie Mac
calm the economy hit by over a year long credit and
housing crisis.
Copper's immediate reaction to the bail out was positive, fueling
a short-covering rally from last week's sharp slide lower.
Copper relinquished its morning gains as the dollar continued
to strengthen, lessening the appeal of commodities denominated
in the American currency.
On Friday, copper stocks jumped 18,775 tonnes in the biggest
one-day build since August 2004.
China's imports of unwrought copper and semi-finished copper
products are expected to rise for the second consecutive month
in August, boosted by lower domestic stocks and firmer
Chinese prices.
Copper for three-months delivery on the London Metal Exchange
closed up $50 at $6,950 a tonne from Friday.
Friday, September 5, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 5 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : BEARISH
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 319 , S2 RS 316
R1 RS 323 , R2 RS 326
SELL AT 323 TO 323.50
STOP LOSS RS 326
TARGET RS 319
Copper limbed more than 1 % to its highest level in
almost a week on Thursday , as bargain hunters
lifted the metal as the dollar trimmed its gains
against the Euro.
Copper for three month delivery on the
London Metal Exchange rose as high as
$ 7440 a tonne and was $ 7409/7419 per
tonne versus wednesdays close of $ 7345.
The recent rise in copper inventories
are a sign of sluggish demand.
Currently stocks of copper , mainly used in
construction , stand around 182,000 tonnes
its highest since January.
Thursday, September 4, 2008
UPDATES ON SEPT 4 2008
SHORT TERM TREND : SIDEWAYS
LONG TERM TREND : BEARISH
S1 RS 321.40 , S2 RS 318
R1 RS 327.50 , R2 RS 330
WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION.
MCX NOV COPPER IS EXPECTED TO TRADE IN THE
RANGE OF RS 321.60 TO 320.
Copper Rises on Speculation August Price Slump
Will Spur Demand .
Copper rose the most in almost two weeks on
speculation that a recent price slump will attract
buyers anticipating demand from emerging
economies.
The metal also climbed after U.S. factory orders
increased in July more than forecast. The 1.3
percent rise in bookings followed a revised 2.1
percent increase in June, the Commerce
Department said. Economists had forecast
a gain of 1 percent, the median estimate of
63 surveyed by Bloomberg News.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper for delivery in
three months rose $90, or 1.2 percent, to $7,350 a metric
ton ($3.33 a pound). Before today, the price gained
8.8 percent this year.